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Conditions at Cabarita in October
October: Shoulder Season Shuffle and Short Windows
October is the epitome of a transition month at Cabarita. The average swell height holds at around 3ft (1.0m), but the period slips to 7.4 seconds, meaning more mixed windswell and less pure groundswell. The direction is still favorable - ENE (16.5%), E (23%), ESE (19%), NE (10%) and NNE (13%) make up the core, with SE (14%) in the mix. If you can find a clean day, the banks will have plenty of waves.
But the wind becomes more conflicted. Ideal offshore flow drops to 34%, the NE/ENE/E/ESE onshore quadrant accounts for 19.3%, and NNW winds dominate at 21.9%. This produces a choppy, jumbled surface on many days, especially as spring daytime heating strengthens the seabreeze cycle. Air temps average 20.8°C, water temps warm to 21.4°C, and rainfall increases to 2.50mm/day. October requires patience and a sharp eye on the forecast; the waves are there for the taking when a strong low pressure system sends late-season E/NE swell.
Average Spot conditions at Cabarita in October
Swell history for October
Wind history for October
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at Cabarita during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Cabarita for your next trip in October.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Cabarita for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Cabarita.