Conditions at Cables in October
October: Spring Groundswell and Post-Frontal Cleanups
October is a transition month with a lot of upside. Average swell height eases to 2.2m (7ft), but the period remains long at 12.8s, so the waves still carry plenty of push. SW is the undisputed driver at 48.7%, with WSW at 12.2% and W at 1.3%. The 1.5-2.5m (5-8ft) range dominates, and there are enough bigger sets to keep the regulars honest.
Wind is the wildcard. Ideal offshore flow appears just 30% of the time, while the wind rose favors S (13.0%), SSW (16.7%) and SW (10.4%). That means many days at Cables will be cross-shore or onshore, with the surface chopped by southerly winds. The good news is that October still brings strong frontal impulses from the Southern Ocean, and if you time the post-frontal high pressure ridge, the E/SE flow can groom the swell beautifully. Water is 18.5°C, air is 17.1°C and rainfall is lighter at 1.11mm/day - a decent trade-off for the spring volatility.
Average Spot conditions at Cables in October
Swell history for October
Wind history for October
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at Cables during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Cables for your next trip in October.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Cables for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Cables.