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Scarborough • Statistics for October

Conditions at Scarborough in October

October: Spring Shoulder with Clean Morning Windows

October holds a lot of swell - average 2.2m (7ft), period 12.8s - but the wind is shifting back toward summer mode. Ideal conditions drop to 25%, with S and SSW wind percentages climbing. The good news is that SW swells remain extremely consistent, led by SW at 48.7% and WSW at 12.2%, and the average period is still in the powerful 12-13s range. E/ESE winds still provide plenty of clean mornings, especially after overnight land breezes. Water temperature is cool at 18.8°C, air temp warms slightly to 17.1°C and rainfall drops to 1.11mm/day. A solid shoulder month: more inconsistent than August, but with clear windows of offshore perfection and very workable 6-8ft (1.8-2.4m) waves on the best swells.

Average Spot conditions at Scarborough in October

Swell history for October

0 - 2
2 - 3
3 - 5
5 - 6
6 - 8
> 8 ft

Wind history for October

0 - 6.2
6.3 - 12.4
12.4 - 18.6
18.6 - 24.9
24.9 - 31.1
> 31.1 mph

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Scarborough during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Scarborough for your next trip in October.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Scarborough for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Scarborough.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size

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