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Conditions at Waitpinga in October
October: Shoulder-Season Transition
October starts to shift away from the winter core. The average swell remains 4-5ft (1.2-1.5m) and the period is still a healthy 11.7s, but ideal wind falls to 20%. SSW is still the main event at 48.0%, with SW at 31.9% and S at 10.1%. The distribution is solid: the 3-5ft (1-1.5m) and 5-6.5ft (1.5-2m) classes dominate, and the 6.5-8ft (2-2.5m) range appears at 3.9%.
Wind is increasingly split between synoptic fronts and summer sea breezes. WSW (9.0%), SW (8.9%) and W (6.6%) represent the tail end of winter storms, while SSE (8.8%), SE (8.3%) and S (8.3%) show the strengthening thermal circulation. The result is more hit-or-miss surf: some days are clean and lined up with a NW offshore breeze, others are chopped up by S/SSW onshore flow. Air temp warms to 14.9°C and water to 15.2°C, making the clean days feel extra special.
Average Spot conditions at Waitpinga in October
Swell history for October
Wind history for October
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at Waitpinga during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Waitpinga for your next trip in October.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Waitpinga for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Waitpinga.