Conditions at Morro dos Conventos in October
October: Spring Swell Under a Tradewind Lid
October still has plenty of ocean energy, with the average swell height around 5ft (1.6m), but the period has slipped to 8.9s, marking the transition back toward windswell. The E/ESE quadrant is dominant again - E at 23.6% and ESE at 17.9% - while genuine south groundswell begins to fade. This month is all about waiting for the ENE/E tradewind swell to combine with a rare but precious W/NW offshore wind.
And rare it is. Ideal wind drops to 14%, tied for the yearly low, while NE winds rule 31.9% of the time. The sea breeze/NE trade regime becomes relentless, and SSW/SW onshore sectors still take their share. Air temps are warming to 19.4°C and water temp rises to 18.8°C, so the winter wetsuit starts to feel less claustrophobic. In October, be ready to move fast - the best windows are usually early morning before the NE wind rebuilds.
Average Spot conditions at Morro dos Conventos in October
Swell history for October
Wind history for October
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at Morro dos Conventos during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Morro dos Conventos for your next trip in October.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Morro dos Conventos for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Morro dos Conventos.