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Conditions at Cox Bay in October
October: The Swell Machine Turns On
October delivers the one-two punch of building swell and shifting winds. Average swell height rises to 6-7ft (2.0m) with an 11.7s period, and W (33.4%) and WSW (24.8%) are the primary swell directions, with SW adding 9.2% and WNW 5.0%. This is classic Cox Bay: broad, west-based energy moving toward the beach with enough period to keep things powerful. Wind data show ESE (13.1%), SE (12.2%), E (6.3%) and ENE (3.7%) making a strong offshore/cross-offshore presence, while WNW (18.0%) is still around as the main onshore spoiler. Ideal wind is 33%, a significant jump from summer, and the first big autumn lows bring the kind of raw, stormy energy that the spot needs. Water temperature cools to 11.5°C (53°F), air temps average 10.2°C (50°F), and precipitation ramps to 6.9mm/day. October is when the magic starts to return.
Average Spot conditions at Cox Bay in October
Swell history for October
Wind history for October
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at Cox Bay during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Cox Bay for your next trip in October.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Cox Bay for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Cox Bay.