Conditions at Caldera in January
January: Big Trades, No Juice
January delivers the strongest signal of the dry-season trade wind regime in the data. Winds blow from the NNE/NE/ENE/E quadrant about 60% of the time, which is offshore at Caldera and should groom the WSW-facing beach. However, the wind is extremely light, almost entirely in the 0-10kph bracket, and the 'ideal' surf wind window is statistically zero percent. On the swell side, the average height is only around 1ft (0.3m), with an average period of 10.9s, the shortest of the year. SSW swell is dominant at 50%, but essentially all of it sits below 2ft (0.6m); the only 2-3ft (0.5-1m) readings come from the shadowed NE direction. Air temperatures average 26.9°C, water temperature is 28.3°C, and precipitation is negligible at 0.36mm/day, so the beach is tropical and inviting. The surf, though, is mostly knee-high dribble with occasional micro-corners on the dawn patrol.
Average Spot conditions at Caldera in January
Swell history for January
Wind history for January
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at Caldera during January. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Caldera for your next trip in January.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Caldera for January. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Caldera.