Conditions at Esterillos in January
January: Long-Period Groundswell and Morning Glass
The new year begins with the first serious stretch of dry-season surf at Esterillos. Swell direction is heavily locked in from the SSW, which accounts for 86% of the total wave energy, with another 12.8% from the SW and a trace from due S. Fully 59% of those waves fall in the 1.5-3ft (0.5-1m) range, and another 27% are a more solid 3-5ft (1-1.5m), giving an average height of 3ft (0.9m). Periods average 12.6s, right in the powerful long-period category, so even modest SSW pulses produce clean, organized lines on the sand.
The trade-off is wind. While northwest and north-northwest breezes (NW 7%, NNW 8.1%) remain common enough to groom the surface, the dominant wind directions are actually SW (13.3%), WSW (11.4%) and SSW (9.5%), all onshore at a south-facing beach. Luckily, most of the wind stays in the light 0-10kph range, and ideal surf wind is present 37% of the time. Morning sessions are the play, before the afternoon sea breeze gets going. Air temperatures average 26.1°C, rain is only 1.34mm/day, and the water is a warm 28.5°C.
Average Spot conditions at Esterillos in January
Swell history for January
Wind history for January
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at Esterillos during January. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Esterillos for your next trip in January.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Esterillos for January. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Esterillos.