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Conditions at Pan Dulce in October
October: Peak Wet, But Still Fair
October retains the 1.1m (3.5-4ft) average swell height but the period drops to 12.4s - still in the powerful long-period range. Wind quality is outstanding with 84% ideal conditions, and the offshore flow is healthy: WNW (23.3%), W (16.7%), and WSW (13.5%) all feature prominently. The swell distribution shifts a little, with SSW at 87.3% and SW at 12.7% - the highest SW contribution of the year. This subtle broadening of the direction window can actually help Pan Dulce, because more westerly energy may refract into the beach from different angles. Most waves are in the 1-1.5m (3-5ft) range (49.2%) with 1.7% in the 1.5-2m (5-6.5ft) class. The catch is the weather: October is the wettest month with 9.16mm/day of rain and air temperatures at their coolest for the year (24.9°C). Water temp is still warm at 28.0°C. It's a classic tropical trade-off - good surf, but you'll earn it in the rain.
Average Spot conditions at Pan Dulce in October
Swell history for October
Wind history for October
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at Pan Dulce during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Pan Dulce for your next trip in October.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Pan Dulce for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Pan Dulce.