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Cocal • Statistics for October

Conditions at Cocal in October

October: Heavy Swell Meets the Transition

October is a transition month from wet to dry season, and it often delivers the best combination of size and improving conditions. Average swell is 1.3m (4.3ft) at 13.0s. SSW remains the go-to direction at 78.5%, with SW at 15.0% and S at 5.1%. The biggest share of waves is in the 1-1.5m (3-5ft) range at 59.9%, but 5.6% of SW energy reaches 1.5-2m (5-6ft) and 1.1% exceeds 2m (6ft+). Ideal offshore wind improves to 56% as the first cold fronts bring NE flow. Rain eases to 6.00mm/day and water temp drops to 29.2°C. October can be serious: powerful, long-period south swell with occasional offshore morning glory.

Average Spot conditions at Cocal in October

Swell history for October

0 - 2
2 - 3
3 - 5
5 - 6
6 - 8
> 8 ft

Wind history for October

0 - 6.2
6.3 - 12.4
12.4 - 18.6
18.6 - 24.9
24.9 - 31.1
> 31.1 mph

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Cocal during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Cocal for your next trip in October.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Cocal for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Cocal.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size

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