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Conditions at Conchalio in October
October: Transitional Juice Before the Offshore Season
October is all about transition. The swell remains solid: average height 1.3m (4ft), period 13.0s, with SSW at 79% and SW at 15% dominating the spectrum. The SW component is still elevated, with 5.6% in the 1.5-2m range and 1.1% in 2-2.5m, giving Conchalio occasional bigger, more westerly lines. Ideal wind improves to 56% as the dry-season regime begins to return: NNE at 12%, NNW at 8%, and NE at 7% all strengthen, while onshore S/SSW/SW flow drops to 16%. Rain remains a factor at 6.00mm per day, but the long-term trend is drying. Air temperatures average 26.2°C and water temperature is 29.2°C. October is a wildcard -- tropical storms can flatten it or fire it up, but clean and powerful waves become more frequent as the month progresses.
Average Spot conditions at Conchalio in October
Swell history for October
Wind history for October
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at Conchalio during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Conchalio for your next trip in October.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Conchalio for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Conchalio.