Conditions at Keramas in October
October: Waiting for the Monsoon Flip
October is the final month of the trade-wind season, and the ideal wind percentage is still very low at 5%. The average swell eases slightly to 3-4ft (1.0m), with a long 13.6s period. Direction data is dominated by SSW at 92.4%-a remarkable concentration-with most waves in the 2-3ft (0.5-1m) range (52.4%) and another 38.8% in the 3-5ft (1-1.5m) range. The southern Indian Ocean is still sending consistent groundswell.
Winds remain unfavorable for the majority of the month: SE (26.4%), SSE (25.2%), ESE (16.4%) and S (11.9%) keep onshore flow going. Still, the monsoon change is in the air; as high pressure over Australia and low pressure over the Indian Ocean begin reconfiguring, the offshore W/NW sectors will make their comeback. Rain starts increasing to 2.64mm/day, air temps average 27.0°C (22.3-31.8°C), and water temp warms to 27.8°C.
Average Spot conditions at Keramas in October
Swell history for October
Wind history for October
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at Keramas during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Keramas for your next trip in October.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Keramas for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Keramas.