Conditions at Thunders in October
October: Solid Swell and a Changing Wind Regime
October remains very much a surfable month, but with a transitional feel. Average swell height is 1.5m (4.9ft) and the average period is 13.5s - still long and powerful. SSW provides 55.1% of the swell and S adds 34.1%, meaning the break is seeing a near-continuous stream of 3-5ft (1-1.5m) waves (54.5%) and a solid 39.6% in the 5-6.5ft (1.5-2m) category. The mix can produce lined-up, hollow walls when conditions align.
Wind is where October starts to get interesting. The SE trades still dominate at 25.4% SE, with SSE at 14.3% and ESE at 11%, and the ideal surfing wind share is a respectable 46%. But the wet season is approaching fast: rainfall jumps to 8.98mm/day, and W/NW flow is slowly building again. Morning sessions are often excellent, with offshore E/NE components and clean groundswell. By the afternoon, convection and sea breezes can add lump. Water temp stays at 28.5°C and air temps hold at 27.1°C. It is a great month for surfers who like the best of both worlds - substantial swell and quieter crowds.
Average Spot conditions at Thunders in October
Swell history for October
Wind history for October
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at Thunders during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Thunders for your next trip in October.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Thunders for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Thunders.