Conditions at Brandon Bay in February
February: Cold Water, Heavy Swell
February remains deep winter at Brandon Bay. Average swell is 6ft (1.8m) with a 12.7 second period, giving the bay the same long-period punch as January. The waverose is led by W (25.4%), WNW (22.8%) and WSW (15.0%), while NW adds another 8.4%. A large share of WSW and W energy means the swell is almost always arriving within the optimal southwest-facing window. Wind is the main villain: SSW, SW, WSW and W total close to 40 percent, so onshore and sideshore flow is frequent. Ideal offshore winds from the NNE, NE, ENE and E are limited to 23 percent of the time, usually as high pressure clears the clouds overnight. With the water temperature at 8.1°C, air at 7.5°C and rainfall at 3.82 mm/day, this is committed, cold-water surfing. When the stars align, February will offer long-period, grinding walls that are well worth the shiver.
Average Spot conditions at Brandon Bay in February
Swell history for February
Wind history for February
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at Brandon Bay during February. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Brandon Bay for your next trip in February.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Brandon Bay for February. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Brandon Bay.