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Crab Island • Statistics for January

Conditions at Crab Island in January

January: Midwinter Muscle

January is Crab Island at its most powerful. The average swell height sits at around 8ft (2.4m) with a 12.7-second period, which puts it firmly in the long-period groundswell category. The wave rose shows that the W direction accounts for 25.8% of all swell, with WSW adding 14.1%, WNW 9.1%, and NW another 2.3%, meaning more than half of all incoming energy is aimed directly at the beach. A large share of that sits in the 1.5-2.5m (5-8ft) range, and there is even a contribution of XXL surf above 2.5m (8ft).

The problem is the wind. The dominant westerly airflow that feeds the swell is also, more often than not, onshore. Winds from WSW, W, WNW, and NW combine for around 31% of January observations, while light offshore conditions from ONO, O, OSO, and SO only come together 14% of the time. That explains the 14% ideal-wind score for the month. When a transient high pressure ridge sits over the British Isles, an easterly offshore flow turns those powerful W and WNW pulses into clean, hollow lines. With water temperatures at 8.7°C and air averaging 6.9°C, this is a hooded 5/4 session, but the reward is world-class midwinter surf.

Average Spot conditions at Crab Island in January

Swell history for January

0 - 2
2 - 3
3 - 5
5 - 6
6 - 8
> 8 ft

Wind history for January

0 - 6.2
6.3 - 12.4
12.4 - 18.6
18.6 - 24.9
24.9 - 31.1
> 31.1 mph

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Crab Island during January. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Crab Island for your next trip in January.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Crab Island for January. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Crab Island.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size

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