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Magheroarty • Statistics for October

Conditions at Magheroarty in October

October: The North Atlantic Roars Back

October is the true trigger month for the Irish surf season. The North Atlantic roars to life as strong extratropical cyclones multiply along the Gulf Stream thermal boundary, driving the average swell height up to 8.5ft (2.6m) and the period to 10.9s. The wave rose shows a healthy mix of W (12.1%), WNW (9.7%), NNW (6.7%) and NW (6.1%), with a big share of the energy in the 1.5-2.5m and over-2.5m classes. When the jet stream digs south and the NAO tilts positive, Ireland is directly in the firing line.

Wind quality is a bit better than midwinter, with ideal offshore conditions at 11%. Southerly and southwesterly winds remain prevalent, but there are enough clean, post-frontal windows to make it a genuine best-season month. Water temp is still relatively comfortable at 13.4°C, air temps average 10.1°C, and precipitation steps up to 4.35mm/day. October offers the perfect balance: solid autumn swells, manageable winds and the ocean still warm enough for a 4/3.

Average Spot conditions at Magheroarty in October

Swell history for October

0 - 2
2 - 3
3 - 5
5 - 6
6 - 8
> 8 ft

Wind history for October

0 - 6.2
6.3 - 12.4
12.4 - 18.6
18.6 - 24.9
24.9 - 31.1
> 31.1 mph

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Magheroarty during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Magheroarty for your next trip in October.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Magheroarty for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Magheroarty.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size

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