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Desert Point • Statistics for October

Conditions at Desert Point in October

October: The Autumn Change Begins

October is where Desert Point wakes up from its summer sleep. The average swell height jumps to 1.7m (5.6ft) and the average period extends to 11.5s, putting the surf back in the powerful long-period range. NNW swell still leads at 53.9 percent, but the NW component strengthens to 33.4 percent, and the combination brings a much better spread of waves in the 1.5-2.5m (5-8ft) category - the kind of size that makes this desert reef break genuinely exciting.

The wind also starts to cooperate. The ideal window rises to 37 percent, with light SE/SSE/S winds making a bigger appearance and the post-summer NW trades beginning to subside. Air temps are still warm at 21.5°C, and water is 19.4°C, so you can surf in less rubber while watching the first proper lines roll in. October is the earliest month I would start watching the forecast charts.

Average Spot conditions at Desert Point in October

Swell history for October

0 - 2
2 - 3
3 - 5
5 - 6
6 - 8
> 8 ft

Wind history for October

0 - 6.2
6.3 - 12.4
12.4 - 18.6
18.6 - 24.9
24.9 - 31.1
> 31.1 mph

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Desert Point during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Desert Point for your next trip in October.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Desert Point for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Desert Point.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size

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