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Conditions at Little Wanganui in October
October: Spring Storminess with Fickle Wind
October is a transitional month of mixed blessings. Average swell remains strong at 7ft (2.1m) with a period of 12.2s, and the swell rose still shows a healthy W/WSW dominance: WSW 38.6%, W 19.6%, WNW 8.9%, and NW 4.9%. The energy is there, often too much, as deep spring lows pass over the Tasman Sea and throw significant west-north-west swell toward the coast.
However, the wind quality deteriorates noticeably. Ideal offshore conditions fall to just 27 percent of the time, with the offshore sector (ESE, E, SE) becoming much less frequent. Meanwhile, W (12.6%) and NNW (10.9%) winds pick up, generating a lot of onshore, stormy surf. Water temperature warms slightly to 13.3°C and air averages 11.1°C. It is still worth checking the charts, because a well-placed high will produce clean, powerful waves. But you have to be ready to move when the opportunity arises.
Average Spot conditions at Little Wanganui in October
Swell history for October
Wind history for October
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at Little Wanganui during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Little Wanganui for your next trip in October.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Little Wanganui for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Little Wanganui.