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Conditions at Mangamanu in October
October: Shoulder Season Transition
October is a classic shoulder month. Average wave heights drop to 5ft (1.6m) and periods ease to 10.0s. The S swell remains strong at 24.5%, but the optimal SSE/ESE/SE contributions shrink, meaning less true groomed groundswell. Wind conditions become more variable: ideal offshore winds are down to 58%, and the frequency of E and SE onshore breezes increases. Still, the passing fronts can deliver brief, punchy windows of quality surf, especially when the wind goes W/NW after a cold front. Air temps are warming to 11.0°C (52°F) and water is 11.2°C (52°F). It's a month for the flexible surfer willing to work around the weather.
Average Spot conditions at Mangamanu in October
Swell history for October
Wind history for October
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at Mangamanu during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Mangamanu for your next trip in October.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Mangamanu for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Mangamanu.