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Conditions at Careneros in January
January: Peak Season Trade Swell
January is the heart of the Caribbean dry season and Careneros is tapping into the full power of the North Atlantic trades. The average swell height sits at 1.4m (4-5ft) with an 8.3s period, and the direction board is almost a perfect study in NE energy: the NE quadrant pumps in 85.1 percent of the waves, with a solid 43.1 percent arriving in the 1-1.5m (3-5ft) range and another 24.5 percent running 1.5-2m (5-6.5ft). This is exactly what a northeast-facing beach wants to see. The wind machine is also in your favor - ideal conditions hover around 73 percent, thanks to a prevailing WNW/NW flow that keeps the NE swell lined up and clean. With only 3.23mm/day of rain and water temperature at 27.7°C, you can expect warm, glassy, grindable waves from first light until the seabreeze kicks.
Average Spot conditions at Careneros in January
Swell history for January
Wind history for January
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at Careneros during January. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Careneros for your next trip in January.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Careneros for January. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Careneros.