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Playa Malibu • Statistics for January

Conditions at Playa Malibu in January

January: Trade Wind Swell and a Mixed Bag

January is squarely in the dry season along Panama's Pacific coast, with air temperatures averaging 25.5°C, very little rain (0.69 mm/day) and warm water at 27.6°C. The pressure gradient over the Caribbean strengthens the trade wind flow, and at Playa Malibu the wind rose is dominated by NNW (68%) and N (17%) directions-classic offshore flow for this south-facing beach. That sounds clean, but the swell rose tells a mixed story: a large chunk of the energy is short-period NNW and N windswell (26.6% and 9.0%), which is not the direction this spot wants, while the preferred SSW and SW directions combine for only about 24% of the total.

The average swell height is 0.7m (2.3ft) with a period of just 9.0 seconds, so most waves fall into the small, fun-sized, groveling category. Ideal wind conditions register 48% for the month, meaning less than half of January delivers the full recipe. When a genuine S/SW groundswell lines up under a light NNW offshore, Playa Malibu offers clean 2-3ft (0.6-0.9m) waves, but they remain inconsistent and easily overshadowed by the shorter-period windswell.

Average Spot conditions at Playa Malibu in January

Swell history for January

0 - 2
2 - 3
3 - 5
5 - 6
6 - 8
> 8 ft

Wind history for January

0 - 6.2
6.3 - 12.4
12.4 - 18.6
18.6 - 24.9
24.9 - 31.1
> 31.1 mph

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Playa Malibu during January. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Playa Malibu for your next trip in January.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Playa Malibu for January. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Playa Malibu.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size

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