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Conditions at Punta Brava in October
October: The Calm Before the Shift
October is the tail end of the low season, but it doesn't feel like it early in the month. The average swell height is still 1.0m (3.3ft) with a 12.9s period, and the SSW/SW combo remains active - 82.1% from SSW and 17.9% from SW, including 8.0% in the 1-1.5m (3.3-5ft) range. The issue continues to be wind. W (28.3%) and WSW (25.1%) dominate, and ideal surf wind conditions sit at an abysmal 12% of the time - the lowest of the year. It is a wet, stormy month, with 9.32 mm/day of rain keeping the jungle saturated. Yet there are hints of the coming shift: the first stronger NNE pulses (0.7%) and NNW (3.7%) begin to appear. As the calendar slides toward November, the ITCZ begins its southward migration, setting the stage for the return of dry offshore trades. For now, expect a mix of pulsing SSW swell and messy, onshore windslop.
Average Spot conditions at Punta Brava in October
Swell history for October
Wind history for October
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at Punta Brava during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Punta Brava for your next trip in October.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Punta Brava for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Punta Brava.