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Mancora • Statistics for October

Conditions at Mancora in October

October: Late-Season Gold

October is the last of the true winter months at Mancora. Average swell height eases a touch to around 6ft (1.8m), but the period is still a muscular 14.0 seconds. The SSW source is as dominant as ever, delivering 91% of the energy, with SW adding 7%. The 5-6.5ft (1.5-2m) range remains the majority at 60%, and 24% still falls in the 6-8ft (2-2.5m) bracket. If you were in the water, it would be hard to tell this apart from August: the waves have size, length and power.

Wind quality is unchanged at 71% ideal, with SSW and SW winds combining for around 57% of the wind rose. The pressure gradient is still strong, keeping the offshore flow clean and consistent. Rain is essentially absent at 0.06 mm/day, air temperature averages 21.3°C and water temperature rises to 20.5°C. October is an excellent month for a surf trip: all the power of winter, but the ocean is beginning to warm slightly.

Average Spot conditions at Mancora in October

Swell history for October

0 - 2
2 - 3
3 - 5
5 - 6
6 - 8
> 8 ft

Wind history for October

0 - 6.2
6.3 - 12.4
12.4 - 18.6
18.6 - 24.9
24.9 - 31.1
> 31.1 mph

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Mancora during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Mancora for your next trip in October.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Mancora for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Mancora.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size

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