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Conditions at Jelly's Point in October
October: Transition Magic
October sees the most interesting mix of the year: the average swell height is only 2.3ft (0.7m), but the period reaches 10.2s, the highest of any month, and optimal northern swell directions begin to appear. NE swell is 44%, ENE 29%, NNE 14%, and NNW/N combine for another 8%, giving this north-facing spot more angles than the dead of winter. Most waves sit in the 2-3ft (0.5-1m) range, but the longer-period energy and cleaner wind windows make them feel better than the numbers suggest. Ideal wind sits at 39%, and south/southwest offshore flow is common enough to catch. When a strong low-pressure system or typhoon remnant pushes a N/NNW swell through the South China Sea, October can deliver unexpected 4-6ft (1.2-1.8m) gems before the full monsoon winds arrive. Water temperature is 29.3°C and rainfall is 7.9mm/day.
Average Spot conditions at Jelly's Point in October
Swell history for October
Wind history for October
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at Jelly's Point during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Jelly's Point for your next trip in October.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Jelly's Point for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Jelly's Point.