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Cave Rock • Statistics for July

Conditions at Cave Rock in July

July: Winter's Steady Pulse

July continues the winter momentum with only a slight step down from June. The average swell height is 1.7m (5.6ft), the period remains a strong 10.7s, and ideal winds are present 51% of the time. The wind rose is very similar to June: NNE (11.8%), NE (12.6%), SSW (13.3%), and SW (9.8%), but with a healthy dose of westerly and northwesterly offshore flow (W 4.1%, WNW 5.7%, NW 6.2%, NNW 11.4%). Swell direction is once again dominated by S (24.6%) and SSE (16.9%), with ENE (9.9%) and E (13.7%) still present but less important. The 1.5-2m and 2-2.5m categories are full, and the occasional overhead set pushes through. Water temp drops to its lowest of the year at 21.8°C, with air temps at 20.0°C. Rain increases slightly to 1.43mm/day, but the surf remains consistent and powerful. This is a deep-winter month where the Southern Ocean storms are in full swing, sending long-period swell into the South African bight. Cave Rock handles it well, and the offshore wind from the west and northwest ensures glassy, crumbling conditions - a magnet for locals in wetsuits and hoods.

Average Spot conditions at Cave Rock in July

Swell history for July

0 - 2
2 - 3
3 - 5
5 - 6
6 - 8
> 8 ft

Wind history for July

0 - 6.2
6.3 - 12.4
12.4 - 18.6
18.6 - 24.9
24.9 - 31.1
> 31.1 mph

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Cave Rock during July. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Cave Rock for your next trip in July.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Cave Rock for July. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Cave Rock.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size

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