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Conditions at Kommetjie in October
October: Cape Doctor Takes Command
October sees the South Atlantic high reassert its grip. The wind rose is again dominated by SE (24%) and SSE (16%), with stronger 20-40kph events returning and ideal conditions falling to 11%. Meanwhile the swell supply begins to shrink: average height 7.9ft (2.4m), period 11.6 seconds. The source is still the winter storm track, with SW at 20%, SSW at 16%, S at 10%, and WSW at 7%, so there are plenty of 6-8ft days. The challenge is the afternoon Cape Doctor, which can make the line-up bumpy and lumpy. With air temperatures up to 16.2°C, water at 16.1°C, and light rain of 0.98 mm/day, the atmosphere is warming. Dawn patrol remains the best strategy; the morning offshore is often light enough to turn that winter-groundswell legacy into glassy, long-period waves.
Average Spot conditions at Kommetjie in October
Swell history for October
Wind history for October
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at Kommetjie during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Kommetjie for your next trip in October.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Kommetjie for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Kommetjie.