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Conditions at Mossel Bay in October
October: The Turn Toward Prime Time
October marks the beginning of the best surf season at Mossel Bay. The ideal wind score jumps to 38 percent, while the average swell remains a solid 7.2ft (2.2m) on a 10.8s period. SSW still leads at 22 percent, but the spread of directions is wider, with S, SSE, SE and ESE all sharing the energy. These south and southeast swells tend to offer cleaner, more manageable waves after the winter slabs.
The wind regime is improving fast. S/SW offshore flows become more regular, and the E/ESE summer breeze is still a factor but mostly sideshore. Air temperature averages 17.1°C, water temperature is 17.2°C, and rainfall is 1.48mm/day. October is the month when the quality-vs-size ratio finally tilts back in the surfer's favor.
Average Spot conditions at Mossel Bay in October
Swell history for October
Wind history for October
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at Mossel Bay during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Mossel Bay for your next trip in October.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Mossel Bay for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Mossel Bay.