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Pease Bay • Statistics for October

Conditions at Pease Bay in October

October: North Atlantic Roars Back

October is when Pease Bay shifts from summer mode to full-on autumn/winter. Average surf height jumps to 4ft (1.3m), period 6.2s, and the percentage of rideable optimal swell increases sharply. The N/NE/ENE sectors combine for around 25% of the spectrum, with ENE and NNE delivering the best mid-period waves; over 15% of all observations are in the 3-8ft (1-2.5m) range from the favourable quadrant. The North Atlantic storm track is active, and low pressure systems moving east of Scotland generate strong pressure gradients over the North Sea, producing the N/NE pulses the bay is built for.

Rainfall averages 2.78 mm/day, one of the wettest months, as fronts march across the country. SST is 12.1°C, air 10.0°C. S/SSW/SW/WSW offshore winds appear 15% of the time and are often lighter than in November, giving plenty of clean windows. This is one of the best combinations of size, consistency and manageable weather that Pease Bay sees all year.

Average Spot conditions at Pease Bay in October

Swell history for October

0 - 2
2 - 3
3 - 5
5 - 6
6 - 8
> 8 ft

Wind history for October

0 - 6.2
6.3 - 12.4
12.4 - 18.6
18.6 - 24.9
24.9 - 31.1
> 31.1 mph

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Pease Bay during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Pease Bay for your next trip in October.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Pease Bay for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Pease Bay.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size

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