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Conditions at Watergate Bay in February
February: Winter's Strongest Pulse
February remains deep winter, with a 7ft (2.1m) average swell and a 12.1s average period. The W direction is even more dominant than January at 36.6%, while WSW holds at 11.4% and WNW adds 9.3%; the west-north-west exposure is again in the crosshairs. Swell heights in the 5-8ft (1.5-2.5m) band are widespread, and the cold, dense air over a relatively warm ocean helps maintain long-period energy. The wind distribution is similar to January, with ideal offshore conditions around 23%, but February often delivers cleaner windows between Atlantic frontal systems. When an east or southeast breeze locks in under high pressure, Watergate Bay can offer some of the most memorable winter barrels of the year. Air temperatures are slightly colder at 7.5°C, water temp drops to 9.0°C, and precipitation eases a touch to 3.23mm/day. This is all-out midwinter surfing.
Average Spot conditions at Watergate Bay in February
Swell history for February
Wind history for February
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at Watergate Bay during February. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Watergate Bay for your next trip in February.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Watergate Bay for February. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Watergate Bay.