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Conditions at Bathtub Beach in October
October: Autumn Swells and the First Cold Fronts
October is when the North Atlantic starts to roar again, and Bathtub Beach feels it. Average surf heights rise to 4ft (1.2m) with periods holding at 8.2s. The swell rose is dominated by NE and ENE directions at 34.4 and 33.6 percent, and there is a significant slab of 5-8ft (1.5-2.5m) groundswell mixed in from those directions. However, offshore wind frequency sits at just 17 percent, because early in the month the onshore ENE/NE trades are still strong. The quality surf comes late in the month as cold fronts begin pushing through and the wind turns west and northwest behind them. Water temps are still warm at 27.3°C, air temps average 25.9°C, and rainfall drops from summer levels to 4.19 mm/day. Look for a developing nor'easter off the Carolinas and a cold front sweeping down the peninsula; that combination is gold for this reef.
Average Spot conditions at Bathtub Beach in October
Swell history for October
Wind history for October
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at Bathtub Beach during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Bathtub Beach for your next trip in October.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Bathtub Beach for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Bathtub Beach.