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Conditions at Blacks Beach in October
October: The Fall Transition Begins
October is a classic shoulder month at Blacks Beach. The average swell height is still modest at 0.9m (3ft), but the period remains long at 13.4s, meaning the waves have solid structure when they arrive. The direction distribution is shifting: SW (40.3 percent) and WSW (36.0 percent) still lead, but W swell jumps to 14.0 percent and WNW appears at 0.3 percent. More importantly, the wind regime begins to break down. Ideal offshore flow climbs back to 22 percent, with ENE and E winds making a stronger appearance. Onshore W and WNW winds are still common, but they no longer blow nonstop. Water temps are still pleasant at 18.7°C (65.5°F), air temps average 19.5°C (67°F), and precipitation is light at 0.47 mm/day. October offers your first real chance to score a clean, west-angled swell before winter fully kicks in - the dawn patrol starts to become worth it again.
Average Spot conditions at Blacks Beach in October
Swell history for October
Wind history for October
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at Blacks Beach during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Blacks Beach for your next trip in October.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Blacks Beach for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Blacks Beach.