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Canoes • Statistics for January

Conditions at Canoes in January

January: Midwinter Muscle

January is the heart of the North Pacific storm season and the statistics do not lie: average swell heights of 6ft (1.8m) with a powerful 12.6s average period put a real hump of oceanic energy into the Hawaiian chain. The deep-water spectrum is dominated by NW (21.6%), WNW (13.6%) and NNW (11.9%) - a classic winter pattern that feasts on the north shore. For Canoes, sitting exposed to the southwest, the primary swell direction is aimed away from the coastline, but the long period makes these swells highly refractive, wrapping around the island to produce inconsistent yet clean-lined peaks. The quality jump comes when the S, SSW, SW and WSW quadrant kicks in (a combined 5.4% of observations), delivering the direct hit this reef loves. With offshore flow from the ENE (29.9%) and NE (12.7%) dominating the wind rose and ideal surf conditions measuring a season-high 26%, the trade-off for fewer south pulses is a frequent run of perfectly groomed, glassy conditions. Water temps hold at 24.5°C, air temps average 22.8°C, and the 1.99 mm/day of rainfall keeps the coast lush between swell trains.

Average Spot conditions at Canoes in January

Swell history for January

0 - 2
2 - 3
3 - 5
5 - 6
6 - 8
> 8 ft

Wind history for January

0 - 6.2
6.3 - 12.4
12.4 - 18.6
18.6 - 24.9
24.9 - 31.1
> 31.1 mph

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Canoes during January. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Canoes for your next trip in January.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Canoes for January. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Canoes.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size

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