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Conditions at Low Island in October
October: The Storm Track Awakens
October is a serious wake-up call at Low Island. The average swell height leaps to 8.2ft (2.5m) as deepening lows regain control of the North Pacific. The average period of 10.4s is back in the powerful long-period range, and the swell rose shows a clear winter flavor: WSW at 20.3%, SW at 16.6%, SSW at 8.2%, and W at 4.7%. A large percentage of events now fall in the 4.9-8.2ft (1.5-2.5m) class, with an increasing number of bombs over 8.2ft (2.5m). The wind remains the limiting factor - ideal offshore wind is just 26% and E/ESE/SE/SSE winds are common - but the quality of the swell is now high enough that a single clean offshore day can deliver excellent, hollow, long-period waves. Water temperature has cooled to 10.7°C (51.3°F), air temperatures average 8.0°C (46.4°F), and precipitation is high at 10.07mm/day. The winter is coming, and October is the warning shot.
Average Spot conditions at Low Island in October
Swell history for October
Wind history for October
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at Low Island during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Low Island for your next trip in October.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Low Island for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Low Island.