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Manhattan Beach • Statistics for January

Conditions at Manhattan Beach in January

January: Deep Winter Meets Long-Period West Swell

January is the pinnacle of the winter season at Manhattan Beach. The North Pacific storm track is running hot, and the data shows just how dominant the favorable western window is: W swell accounts for nearly 59 percent of the total energy, with another 28 percent from WSW and 8 percent from SW - essentially all the swell is hitting the beach at an optimum angle. The average period clocks in at 12.4 seconds, so while the average height is only around 2-3ft (0.8m), the waves carry serious long-period punch and hold up far better than the size might suggest. Ideal offshore flow is present 52 percent of the time, keeping the surface clean for long sessions. Air temperatures hover near 11.8°C and the water is 14.0°C, so a 4/3mm wetsuit is standard. With 2.78 mm/day of precipitation, expect some frontal rain, but the clearing behind these systems often sets up the best and cleanest days of the month.

Average Spot conditions at Manhattan Beach in January

Swell history for January

0 - 2
2 - 3
3 - 5
5 - 6
6 - 8
> 8 ft

Wind history for January

0 - 6.2
6.3 - 12.4
12.4 - 18.6
18.6 - 24.9
24.9 - 31.1
> 31.1 mph

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Manhattan Beach during January. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Manhattan Beach for your next trip in January.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Manhattan Beach for January. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Manhattan Beach.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size

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