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Mavericks • Statistics for January

Conditions at Mavericks in January

January: The Deep-Water Heavyweight Champion

The calendar flips into the heart of Mavericks season as the Aleutian Low pumps a steady diet of long-period W and WNW groundswell toward the California coast. Average surf checks in around 6ft (1.9m) with a 13.2s period, and a large share of the energy sits in the 5-8ft (1.5-2.5m) range. While the S/SSW/SW/WSW swell corridor is the theoretical sweet spot for this southwest-facing reef, the raw data shows W and WNW combining for 73% of all swell observations, with WSW contributing another 6%. That west-northwest energy wraps around the bathymetry and, when long-period, is the main driver of XL days. Offshore winds from the N through ENE quadrant blow 27.5% of the time, and once light wind windows are included, conditions are clean 53% of the time. Water temperature sits at 11.6°C, air temperature averages 10.7°C, and 3.28 mm/day of rain keeps the place cold and green.

Average Spot conditions at Mavericks in January

Swell history for January

0 - 2
2 - 3
3 - 5
5 - 6
6 - 8
> 8 ft

Wind history for January

0 - 6.2
6.3 - 12.4
12.4 - 18.6
18.6 - 24.9
24.9 - 31.1
> 31.1 mph

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Mavericks during January. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Mavericks for your next trip in January.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Mavericks for January. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Mavericks.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size

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