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Conditions at Mayport Poles in October
October: Fall Arrives with More Grunt
October is the true start of the good season. Average wave height reaches just over 2ft (0.7m) and the period is 7.1s, but the distribution is more robust than the average suggests. E (35.0%) and ENE (29.1%) are the dominant swell directions, and ENE puts a solid 5.0% of its energy into the 3-5ft (1-1.5m) range and 1.3% into 5-6.5ft (1.5-2m). This is the month where nor'easters and early-season cold fronts begin to line up. Wind is still tricky - NE (16.2%), ENE (13.1%) and NNE (11.4%) are common, making for bumpy, windswell-heavy conditions - but frontal passages bring those west/northwest offshore windows up to 11% of the time. Water temp is a warm 25.7°C, air averages 23.7°C, and precipitation is 3.47 mm/day. Keep a log for the days after the front passes.
Average Spot conditions at Mayport Poles in October
Swell history for October
Wind history for October
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at Mayport Poles during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Mayport Poles for your next trip in October.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Mayport Poles for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Mayport Poles.