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Conditions at Melbourne Beach in January
January: Winter Grit and Clean Windows
January sets the tone for winter at Melbourne Beach. Average swell height sits at 0.8m (roughly 2-3ft) with an average period of 8.2s, meaning most days deliver rideable, punchy waves even if true groundswell is still a rarity. The dominant swell directions are E (21.9%), ENE (15.8%), NE (13.5%) and NNE (11.1%), all of which line up well with this ENE-facing coastline. The real story, however, is wind. Ideal offshore flow runs at 24% of the time, the highest of the year, with frequent NNW (13.2%), NW (8.5%) and WNW (8.4%) winds blowing across or offshore. These post-frontal windows leave the surface clean and make the most of the 2ft (0.6m) to 3ft (0.9m) waves laced through the E and ENE sectors. Air temperatures average 17.6C and water temperature is 21.0C, so a springsuit or 3/2 wetsuit works well between cold-front passages.
Average Spot conditions at Melbourne Beach in January
Swell history for January
Wind history for January
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at Melbourne Beach during January. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Melbourne Beach for your next trip in January.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Melbourne Beach for January. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Melbourne Beach.