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Point Dume • Statistics for October

Conditions at Point Dume in October

October: First Winter Swell of the Season

October delivers the first real sign of winter. The average swell height is still modest at 0.9m (3ft), but the period jumps to 12.7s, the longest of the year, and longer-period W/WSW groundswell begins to show more often. WSW (32 percent) and SW (29 percent) dominate, with west swell at 21 percent and a growing WNW component (2 percent) hinting at the upcoming North Pacific season. Most days remain in the 2-3ft (0.5-1m) to 3-5ft (1-1.5m) range, but the longer period brings extra punch and better shape. Ideal winds improve to 62 percent, with the morning offshore N/NW flow becoming more reliable and the afternoon sea breeze weakening. Water temps are still warm at 17.2°C (63°F), air temps average 19.6°C (67°F), and rainfall remains low at 0.56 mm/day. October may not be the heaviest month, but it is the beginning of the good season.

Average Spot conditions at Point Dume in October

Swell history for October

0 - 2
2 - 3
3 - 5
5 - 6
6 - 8
> 8 ft

Wind history for October

0 - 6.2
6.3 - 12.4
12.4 - 18.6
18.6 - 24.9
24.9 - 31.1
> 31.1 mph

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Point Dume during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Point Dume for your next trip in October.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Point Dume for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Point Dume.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size

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