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Conditions at Red Tree Reef in October
October: Full Autumn Has Arrived
October is a clear turning point. The average swell height rises to 8ft (2.4-2.5m) with a 10.4s period, giving Red Tree Reef proper long-period energy once again. The dominant directions are WSW (19.9%) and SW (16.7%), with SSW (8.3%) contributing, and the distribution is concentrated in the 5-8ft (1.5-2.5m) class with a useful share of 8ft-plus (2.5m+) waves. This is real autumn groundswell, and the west-facing reef starts to light up with heavy, pitching waves on the better west in the swell.
The wind is still the wildcard: only 24% of October is ideal. The pattern is wet and dynamic, with precipitation averaging over 10 mm/day and strong SE/SSE/S winds often flowing ahead of low-pressure systems. But when the front passes and high pressure builds, the offshore ENE/E/ESE wind strips the surface clean and the reef explodes. Water temp drops to 10.7°C (51°F), so the first 5/4 of the season is probably coming out of the closet.
Average Spot conditions at Red Tree Reef in October
Swell history for October
Wind history for October
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at Red Tree Reef during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Red Tree Reef for your next trip in October.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Red Tree Reef for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Red Tree Reef.