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Trigg Point • Statistics for October

Conditions at Trigg Point in October

October: Spring Energy with a Split Personality

October brings a noticeable step down in size, but the swell is still far from flat. The average sits at 7ft (2.2m) with a long 12.8s period, and the dominant SW (48.7%) and WSW (12.2%) swells continue to wrap into Trigg with real power. What makes October tricky is the wind direction. Ideal offshore flow is down to 29%, while SSW and S winds are common, and the first summer sea breezes start to appear in the afternoons. This is a month of windows: low-pressure systems passing south of Australia generate clean, pulsing swell, and when the winds align from E/ESE, you get excellent spring surf. Otherwise, the bumpy south wind controls the daily rhythm. Water temp is a cool 18.8°C, air temps warm to 17.1°C, and rainfall drops to 1.11mm/day. Keep an eye on the synoptic chart, not just the buoy.

Average Spot conditions at Trigg Point in October

Swell history for October

0 - 2
2 - 3
3 - 5
5 - 6
6 - 8
> 8 ft

Wind history for October

0 - 6.2
6.3 - 12.4
12.4 - 18.6
18.6 - 24.9
24.9 - 31.1
> 31.1 mph

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Trigg Point during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Trigg Point for your next trip in October.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Trigg Point for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Trigg Point.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size

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