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Winkipop • Statistics for October

Conditions at Winkipop in October

October: Spring Swells and the Return of the Breeze

October is the classic transition month. The average swell height drops slightly to 1.3m and the period shortens a touch to 12.3s, but the southwest swell window is as dominant as ever, with SSW and SW alone reaching nearly 79% of all wave energy. The wind story becomes more mixed: ideal surf wind falls to 39%, and the increase in frontal weather brings more variable conditions. Air temperature warms to 13.3°C, ocean temp rises to 14.2°C, and precipitation remains substantial.

There are clean, powerful days in October, but they tend to come in pulses between fronts. When a strong Tasman Sea low or Southern Ocean front aligns with W/NW winds, Winkipop can still produce world-class lefts. By late month, the sea breeze starts to become a regular afternoon factor again.

Average Spot conditions at Winkipop in October

Swell history for October

0 - 2
2 - 3
3 - 5
5 - 6
6 - 8
> 8 ft

Wind history for October

0 - 6.2
6.3 - 12.4
12.4 - 18.6
18.6 - 24.9
24.9 - 31.1
> 31.1 mph

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Winkipop during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Winkipop for your next trip in October.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Winkipop for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Winkipop.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size

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