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Conditions at Kincardine in November
November: The Storm Track Hits Full Stride
November brings the strongest and most consistent surf of the autumn/winter cycle. The average wave height reaches 4ft (1.2m) with an average period of 5.0s, and the favorable swell directions are firing: NNW (13.3%), NW (10.3%), W (7.4%), WNW (7.8%), WSW (7.0%), plus S (10.4%) and SSW (9.5%). This is the broadest, most powerful mix the spot sees, driven by the polar jet stream diving south and intense cyclogenesis across the Great Lakes region.
The trade-off is the wind. S, SSW, SW, WSW, W, WNW, NW and NNW all show that onshore and cross-shore winds dominate, while ideal offshore flow remains at 4%. Still, these are the months when cold fronts and high-pressure wedges can align a clean west-northwest swell with east-southeast wind. Average air temperature drops to 5.3°C with precipitation of 2.32 mm/day, so the water is cold and the surf is real.
Average Spot conditions at Kincardine in November
Swell history for November
Wind history for November
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at Kincardine during November. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Kincardine for your next trip in November.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Kincardine for November. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Kincardine.