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Conditions at Kincardine in September
September: Autumn's First Real Swell Pulse
September brings a genuine step up in energy. The average wave height jumps to 2.5-3ft (0.8m) and the average period to 4.2s, while the wave rose starts to look more like a surf forecast than a summer lake report. NNW (18.3%) remains dominant, but S (12.7%), SSW (11.2%), NW (8.0%) and a healthier WSW/W/WNW cluster give Kincardine more of the directional spread it needs. Some 0.5-1m and 1-1.5m bins fill in, creating more frequent counts of fun-sized, groveling waves.
Early-autumn low-pressure systems begin to cross the Great Lakes, and the wind field shifts. S and SSW winds still dominate, but ideal surf wind sits at 4% and the increasing frequency of westerly swell ahead of cold fronts shows promise. Air temperature averages a mild 17.1°C with 2.56 mm/day of precipitation, so autumn is returning to the lineup just as the surf begins to wake up.
Average Spot conditions at Kincardine in September
Swell history for September
Wind history for September
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at Kincardine during September. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Kincardine for your next trip in September.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Kincardine for September. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Kincardine.