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Pavones • Statistics for May

Conditions at Pavones in May

May: Full Size with Green Season Showers

May is where Pavones starts to see real size. The average swell height jumps to 3.6ft (1.1m) while the period holds at 14.1s-a powerful combination. SSW still dominates at 97.3%, and 49.3% of waves now fall in the 3-5ft (0.9-1.5m) range, with 3.7% reaching 5-6.5ft (1.5-2.0m). The downside is the changing wind regime. Ideal offshore E/ESE/SE/SSE conditions ease to 31% as the ITCZ shifts north, and rainfall climbs to 8.5mm/day. Expect clean early-morning windows, then increasing clouds, showers and cross-shore/onshore NW flow through the afternoon. Dawn patrol is your friend.

Average Spot conditions at Pavones in May

Swell history for May

0 - 2
2 - 3
3 - 5
5 - 6
6 - 8
> 8 ft

Wind history for May

0 - 6.2
6.3 - 12.4
12.4 - 18.6
18.6 - 24.9
24.9 - 31.1
> 31.1 mph

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Pavones during May. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Pavones for your next trip in May.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Pavones for May. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Pavones.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size

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