Conditions at Pavones in September
September: Rainy Season Peak, Wind Versus Swell
September is the height of the wet season. The ITCZ sits overhead, producing 8.8mm/day of rain, while average swell remains at 3.6ft (1.1m) with a 13.2s period. SSW accounts for 92.7% of the directional spread, with SW adding 7.1%-a slightly wider westerly window. 56.2% of waves are in the 3-5ft (0.9-1.5m) range, and 3.2% reach 5-6.5ft (1.5-2.0m). The main issue is wind: ideal offshore flow falls to just 20%, and WNW becomes the dominant wind direction at 23.7%, with many readings in the 10-20kph range. This makes surface conditions messy more often than not. Still, the long-period swell is there; you just have to find the windows.
Average Spot conditions at Pavones in September
Swell history for September
Wind history for September
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at Pavones during September. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Pavones for your next trip in September.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Pavones for September. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Pavones.