Conditions at Cayo Coco in January
January: Waiting on the Post-Frontal North Pulse
January is the middle of the winter season and the most promising month of the year at Cayo Coco, at least in relative terms. The swell spectrum is still dominated by trade-wind seas from the east and east-northeast, which together account for over 55% of all waves, but the optimal northerly quadrant (N, NNW and NW) reaches about 15% of the total - the largest seasonal footprint of the year. Most of that north energy arrives in the 1.6-3.3ft (0.5-1m) range, with a small amount reaching 3.3-4.9ft (1-1.5m). The average wave period is 3.4s, however, so almost everything is short-period windswell: choppy and low rather than powerful groundswell. Winds are heavily weighted from the ENE and E, blowing at 20-40kph nearly half the time, which puts a cross-onshore wrinkle on the lineup. Ideal offshore winds from the S/SSW/SW are present only about 2% of the time, usually in the wake of a cold front. When that post-frontal window coincides with a NNW pulse, Cayo Coco can offer clean, fun-sized 2-3ft (0.6-0.9m) peaks. Air temperatures average 23.8°C and water temperatures sit at a warm 25.3°C, so it is a shirtsleeve winter instead of a hood-and-bootie winter.
Average Spot conditions at Cayo Coco in January
Swell history for January
Wind history for January
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at Cayo Coco during January. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Cayo Coco for your next trip in January.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Cayo Coco for January. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Cayo Coco.