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El Barco • Statistics for July

Conditions at El Barco in July

July: Peak Summer Lull and Pure Easterly Windswell

July is the heart of the Caribbean low season. Average swell height is just 1.3m (4.3ft), period stays at 7.3s, and there is no measurable swell from the optimal N, NNW or NW directions-the entire distribution is locked into the easterly quadrant. E alone accounts for 87.1% of all swell, with ENE making up another 11.9%. In practice this means El Barco sees plenty of 3-4ft (0.9-1.2m) peaks, but they are short-period, sectiony and starved of the north swell lines that make the spot stand out.

Winds follow the classic summer pattern: ESE at 45.7%, E at 32.4% and SE at 17.2% dominate, with ideal conditions running 46% of the time. The persistent trade flow keeps the surface active, but it is rarely the clean offshore from a southerly direction that El Barco needs. Air temperatures are warm at 27.7°C, water temperature bumps to 27.9°C, and rainfall is moderate at 1.65mm/day. Early tropical waves can provide relief, but for now patience is the play.

Average Spot conditions at El Barco in July

Swell history for July

0 - 2
2 - 3
3 - 5
5 - 6
6 - 8
> 8 ft

Wind history for July

0 - 6.2
6.3 - 12.4
12.4 - 18.6
18.6 - 24.9
24.9 - 31.1
> 31.1 mph

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at El Barco during July. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at El Barco for your next trip in July.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at El Barco for July. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at El Barco.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size

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