Conditions at Mada's in January
January: The Month of the Eastern Trade Swell
January is northeast monsoon season at Mada's. The swell rose is firmly anchored in the east/east-northeast quadrant, with ENE swell making up 40.2% of the total and E swell another 28.4%. Only 17.1% of the wave energy arrives from the favorable ESE/SE/SSE/S window, so the reef is often shadowed from clean SE swell angles. The average swell height is 3.5ft (1.1m), but most of that sits in the 1-1.5m class, which keeps Mada's in the fun-to-solid range when it does break. Periods average 6.4s, placing it in the average/punchy category: rideable but without the raw power of long-period groundswell.
Wind, meanwhile, is dominated by the NE trades: NE 31.3%, NNE 21.6% and ENE 18.0%. True offshore N/NNW/NW/WNW flow totals only 18.2%, so the percentage of glassy, ideal wind sits near 40%. The air sits at 27.3°C and the water at 28.4°C, with moderate rain at 2.91mm/day typical. In practice, look for early-morning NW/NNW pulses or days when the trades ease; the best waves will be chest-to-head-high, punchy and better on the sets that wrap in from the ESE/SE window.
Average Spot conditions at Mada's in January
Swell history for January
Wind history for January
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at Mada's during January. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Mada's for your next trip in January.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Mada's for January. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Mada's.