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Playa Boca Chica • Statistics for October

Conditions at Playa Boca Chica in October

October: Transitional Windows Between Tropical Rain and Winter Offshore Flow

October is the bridge between the tropical wet season and the cleaner winter dry season. The average swell height remains solid at 5ft (1.5m), and nearly 80 percent of the wave energy comes from the SSW, making it a directionally focused month for the beach. The wind score improves to 55 percent ideal as the first wintertime cold fronts begin to push across the region, bringing more N/NNW winds. Rainfall is still substantial at 5.15mm/day, and water temperatures stay warm at 29.9°C. Some of the best October surf comes in the windows after a front or tropical system passes: clean offshore winds, long-period south swell, and glassy conditions that make you forget the stormy days.

Average Spot conditions at Playa Boca Chica in October

Swell history for October

0 - 2
2 - 3
3 - 5
5 - 6
6 - 8
> 8 ft

Wind history for October

0 - 6.2
6.3 - 12.4
12.4 - 18.6
18.6 - 24.9
24.9 - 31.1
> 31.1 mph

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Playa Boca Chica during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Playa Boca Chica for your next trip in October.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Playa Boca Chica for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Playa Boca Chica.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size

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