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Manzanillo • Statistics for March

Conditions at Manzanillo in March

March: First Hints of Southern Swell

March is a transition month. The trades are still the dominant storyline -- ENE winds blow 78.9 percent of the time, mostly 20-40kph -- but there is a noticeable increase in the variety of swell directions. Average period climbs to 11 seconds, suggesting more organized groundswell than the short-period windswell of January and February. The energy distribution is more balanced: ENE remains the largest at 32.3 percent, but SSE 6.8, S 4.8, SSW 9.3, SW 8.9 and WSW 1.8 begin to show up. That adds up to around 21 percent of the month with waves from the favorable southwest quadrant, most of it in the 1-1.5m (3-5ft) range. Ideal offshore wind remains limited to 6 percent, so the majority of those southern pulses will be chopped up by strong easterly flow. Still, as high pressure weakens and the first South Pacific low-pressure systems push energy north, the early season starts to feel alive.

Average Spot conditions at Manzanillo in March

Swell history for March

0 - 2
2 - 3
3 - 5
5 - 6
6 - 8
> 8 ft

Wind history for March

0 - 6.2
6.3 - 12.4
12.4 - 18.6
18.6 - 24.9
24.9 - 31.1
> 31.1 mph

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Manzanillo during March. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Manzanillo for your next trip in March.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Manzanillo for March. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Manzanillo.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size

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